Asteroid 2024 YR4, discovered in December 2024, now has an estimated 3.1% (1 in 32) chance of impacting Earth on December 22, 2032. With a size ranging from 130 to 300 feet (40 to 90 meters) in diameter, the projected impact corridor extends from South America to South Asia, potentially affecting densely populated areas, including parts of India.

NASA Reports 3.1% Chance of Asteroid Impacting Earth
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